The World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) forecasts
that international tourism will continue growing at
the average annual rate of 4 %. By 2020 Europe will
remain the most popular destination, but its share
will drop from 60 % in 1995 to 46 %. Long-haul will
grow slightly faster than intraregional travel and
by 2020 its share will increase from 18 % in 1995
to 24 %.
With the advent of e-commerce, tourism products have
become one of the most traded items on the internet.
Tourism products and services have been made available
through intermediaries, although tourism providers
can sell their services directly. This has put pressure
on intermediaries from both on-line and traditional
shops.
Space tourism is expected to "take off"
in the first quarter of the 21st century, although
compared with traditional destinations the number
of tourists in orbit will remain low until technologies
such as a space elevator make space travel cheap.
Technological improvement is likely to make possible
air-ship hotels, based either on solar-powered airplanes
or large dirigibles. Underwater hotels, such as Hydropolis,
expected to open in Dubai in 2006, will be built.
On the ocean tourists will be welcomed by ever larger
cruise ships and perhaps floating cities.
Some futurists expect that movable hotel "pods"
will be created that could be temporarily erected
anywhere on the planet, where building a permanent
resort would be unacceptable politically, economically
or environmentally.
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